Indian stocks are becoming "less interesting" as their valuation vis--vis other markets in the Asian region have declined considerably, Swiss banking major Credit Suisse said in a report.
Indian equity markets should be able to withstand inflation up to 8 per cent, said analysts at Credit Suisse Wealth Management in a recent note. Should the rate of inflation move higher than this, the valuation of Indian equities could deteriorate further, they cautioned. The fall from the peak levels has seen Nifty's 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.6 dip toward its 10-year and 5-year (pre-COVID) average of 16.9, which suggests that valuation froth of Indian equities has settled, said the Credit Suisse analysts.
Credit Suisse has seen more than 50 per cent fall in quarterly profit.
It's hard to revive investment, as a quarter of stalled projects need Centre's nod, says the research firm.
The three main reasons behind the cautious optimism about Indian economy include, first, weaker rupee which will boost net exports, secondly, the government's reforms will provide a quick boost to business confidence, and thirdly, the previous rate rises should support investment and durables consumption.
The Credit Suisse report has estimated the middle class on the basis of their wealth rather than their income, says Prachi Salve ' IndiaSpend.
FIIs hold as much as 27 per cent in the over $1.6 trillion Sensex market capitalisation as of the September quarter, which is at a historic high.
Tata Group firm Indian Hotels and auto major Mahindra & Mahindra are the only Indian brands to figure in the list of 27 top 'Great Brands of Tomorrow' compiled by Credit Suisse.
Family businesses are proving more resilient globally amid sagging economic conditions with 60 per cent of them having reported revenue growth of over 5 per cent in the last one year, as others struggled to manage their toplines, according to a study.
Family offices provide investment advice, plan succession and even help buy airplanes.
According to financial services major Credit Suisse' research report, Reliance Industries' neutral weight, which has been rising rapidly, is causing problems for all types of 'long-only' institutional investors. The report said domestic index investors are constrained by rule imposed by the regulator that they cannot own more than 10 per cent of their assets under management in a single stock.
At present, the country has 182,000 millionaires, Credit Suisse Research Institute said in its fourth Annual Global Wealth Report 2013 released in Mumbai on Wednesday.
The global wealth currently held by 4.4 billion adults has increased by 72 per cent since 2000 to reach $195 trillion.
China's rapid economic growth will continue to support its people to accumulate wealth.
Ultra-long term equity investments have been a lot more rewarding than debt, a study published by Credit Suisse Research Institute in collaboration with London Business School shows. "Over the last 121 years, global equities have provided an annualised real return (in dollar terms) of 5.3 per cent versus 2.1 per cent for bonds," shows the study, which has looked at returns for 23 countries since 1900. In the Indian context, equity returns are even more favourable. Since 1953, equities have generated annualised returns of 6.5 per cent and government bonds only 0.4 per cent.
The total household wealth in India during this period rose 1.7 per cent to $246 billion.
The sharp correction in the Indian markets from their peak levels has made valuations attractive, say analysts, who advise buying selectively, but only from a long-term perspective. Fifty-six of the Nifty 100 stocks, according to Mahesh Nandurkar, managing director at Jefferies, now trade below the 10-year historical averages, including stocks in financial, select auto, and pharma sectors. "Valuation (one-year forward consensus price-to-earnings, PE) has declined 25 per cent from October 2021 peak, almost matching the 33 per cent price-earnings contraction during the 2011 tightening cycle when repo rates went up by 375 basis points (bps) versus 250 bps this cycle.
In spite of Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, the Poonawallas and many other Indians seeing a jump in their net worth in the pandemic-hit 2020, overall wealth of the country's super-rich dipped 4.4 per cent to $12.83 trillion in the year due to the rupee's fall, and so did their tally, says a report. The number of dollar millionaires in India fell from 7,64,000 in 2019 to 6,98,000 solely because of the rupee's fall, while their cumulative wealth stood at $12.833 trillion, down $594 billion or 4.4 per cent from the previous year, according to the report by Credit Suisse Research Institute. The country is home to just 1 per cent of the global rich, whose number rose by 5.2 million to 56.1 million in the COVID-hit year. However, the report expects the number of millionaires in India to soar 81.8 per cent to 1.3 million by 2025.
Credit Suisse in a research note said that 'we have cut our 2013/14 year average GDP growth forecast to 6 per cent from 6.5 per cent, while also lowering our 2014/15 projection by half percentage points to 7 per cent'.
Switzerland-based bank Credit Suisse said on Tuesday it expects the Bombay Stock Exchange's 30-stock barometer Sensex to touch the 22,000 mark in 12 months.
Among Sensex shares, Bajaj Finserv fell the most by 4.08 per cent. Bajaj Finance declined by 3.01 per cent, Tata Steel by 2.2 per cent, Wipro by 2.09 per cent, Tata Motors by 1.96 per cent, IndusInd Bank by 1.9 per cent, SBI by 1.75 per cent, Tech Mahindra by 1.66 per cent and HCL Tech by 1.2 per cent. TCS, Infosys, Power Grid, Maruti, Reliance, HDFC twins, L&T, M&M, NTPC and Ultratech Cement were also among the losers.
While analysts remains overweight on financials, property, discretionary, industrials and materials, they maintain a neutral stance on pharma, telecom and energy; and underweight on staples, utilities, and IT services.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has sought details about lenders' exposures to the Adani Group, banking sources said, a day after the conglomerate withdrew the Rs 20,000-crore follow on public offer (FPO) of its flagship firm Adani Enterprises amid the steep fall in its stock prices. On Wednesday, Swiss lender Credit Suisse stopped accepting bonds by Adani group companies as collaterals for margin lending. The going has been tough for the diversified conglomerate over the past week ever since US-based short seller Hindenburg Research levelled a slew of allegations about the group's operations, calling it the biggest corporate con ever.
A lot of mid and small-caps are in the bubble zone and command high valuation and have corrected sharply.
The demand for gold is expected to take a hit if the price of the yellow metal - which has been hovering around Rs 60,000, a level never seen before - remains elevated. Due to a sharp increase in price in a very short time and the flow of smuggled gold continuing, gold price in Mumbai is quoted at around Rs 59,000 per 10 gram. Typically, overall demand in the January-March and July-September quarters is moderate-to-dull, which is the case in the ongoing period.
The bull run in the Indian equity markets is intact, said analysts at Morgan Stanley in a recent note. They expect the S&P BSE Sensex to hit 80,000 levels by December 2023 in their bull-case scenario, to which they have assigned a 30 per cent probability. From the current level, this translates into an upside of nearly 29 per cent.
The Nifty Bank index has come off 15 per cent from its peak in February, underperforming the benchmark Nifty which is down 6%.
Despite the large economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the markets have recovered sharply even though the performance among individual stocks has been quite polarised.
Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Jio has introduced a 20-per cent cashback offer on select prepaid plans, intensifying competition in the Indian telecommunications (telecom) market. Jio is the largest telecom service provider in India, with 443 million subscribers as of July. Jio's cashback offer will drive cross-selling across Reliance's various retail businesses, but the move is also being seen by some analysts as a signal that tariff hikes may not be around the corner just yet.
So which sectors are likely to do well in 2022? Should you focus on domestic economy-related sectors or export-oriented ones?
What matters is the culture and the atmosphere of the workplace, and whether employees get treated fairly. 'It is also important for the employee to feel s/he is part of a winning team,' Credit Suisse's Mickey Doshi tells Niraj Bhatt.
Nike Inc, Adidas AG and other companies may cut their spending on sports sponsorships after the unrelenting media coverage of pro golfer Tiger Woods' marital infidelity, a Credit Suisse analyst said on Wednesday. Omar Saad said in a research note that Nike and other companies are being forced to rethink the effectiveness of the vast sums of money they spend on individual and team sponsorships.
Making a presentation on Indian Real Estate Sector: Slumdog or Millionaire at an event hosted by the Observer Research Foundation, Sameer Nayar, managing director and head of real estate (Asia Pacific), Credit Suisse, said that land use laws in India are the most antiquated.
The report also compares the entertainment and media market of India with China. It clearly states that the industry in India has grown because of a benign regulatory environment.
According to a Credit Suisse report, the steep Sensex fall has validated two fears: (1) The Indian market is linked to global developments; and (2) Foreign flows are the biggest drivers of the market.
As regards India, FIIs have pumped in over Rs 34,400 crore in the Indian stocks in calendar year 2021.
Corporate India lags the rest of its Western and Asian peers by a wide margin when it comes to the presence of women on their boards, with just 17.3 per cent of the large companies having them on their key decision making bodies, an international report said on Tuesday. However, this is a near 6 percentage points improvement between 2015 -- when it was only 11.4 per cent -- and 2021, Swiss brokerage Credit Suisse said in the report, which covered over 33,000 executives from more than 3,000 companies across 46 countries, including over 1,440 firms across 12 Asia-Pacific markets. Female representation on boards of large Indian companies has increased by 5.9 percentage points from 11.4 per cent in 2015 to 17.3 per cent in 2021.
Mutual fund houses have been on an equity buying spree in the past three months as they have invested a net amount of Rs 55,000 crore in them between January and March 2023. The number is more than double the amount deployed in the preceding three months (October to December), signalling improved valuations and favourable economic indicators. The valuations, which had peaked in October 2021, returned to its long-term average in March 2023.
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